Sport Picks

Iran

Division 1 2017/2018

Saba Qom

0 - 1

Fajr Sepasi

Our Tip

Match Events

60'

Majidi S.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fajr Sepasi in this Division 1 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fajr Sepasi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Saba Qom

Draws

90%

Fajr Sepasi

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fajr Sepasi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Saba Qom haven't matched Fajr Sepasi's recent run of results.
Fajr Sepasi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

Saba Qom Clean Sheet 24%

Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Saba Qom	Fajr Sepasi
Matches Played	30	42
Wins	1	16
Draws	7	12
Losses	22	14
Goals Scored	0	0.75
Goals Conceded	0	1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2018 Azadegan League

Fajr Sepasi vs Saba Qom

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 0 - 3

6:1

Dec 10, 2017 Azadegan League

Saba Qom vs Fajr Sepasi

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Jan 11, 2014 Persian Gulf Pro League

Fajr Sepasi vs Saba Qom

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Aug 30, 2013 Persian Gulf Pro League

Saba Qom vs Fajr Sepasi

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Jan 18, 2013 Persian Gulf Pro League

Fajr Sepasi vs Saba Qom

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saba Qom 10 / 100

Fajr Sepasi 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Saba Qom Fajr Sepasi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAJ Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Saba Qom scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Fajr Sepasi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Fajr Sepasi conceded in 57% of 42 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fajr Sepasi

0 Goals Scored 0.75

0 Goals Conceded 1.5

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Naft Masjed-Soleyman	34	18	11	5	46:25	65
2	Mazandaran	34	19	7	8	49:26	64
3	Khooneh	34	17	13	4	39:17	64
4	Fajr Sepasi	34	18	7	9	48:25	61
5	Baderan Tehran	34	15	14	5	54:32	59
6	Malavan	34	13	16	5	39:26	55
7	Gol Gohar	34	13	13	8	47:35	52
8	Mes Kerman	34	15	7	12	37:33	52
9	Gol Reyhan Alborz	34	13	12	9	40:27	51
10	Mes Rafsanjan	34	11	15	8	38:29	48
11	Shahrdari Mahshahr	34	11	8	15	42:43	41
12	Bargh	34	10	11	13	30:34	41
13	Aluminium Arak	34	8	15	11	29:34	39
14	Shahrdari Tabriz	34	10	8	16	36:45	38
15	Machine Sazi Tabriz	34	8	13	13	27:32	37
16	Iranjavan	34	8	9	17	33:49	33
17	Saba Qom	34	1	9	24	24:90	12
18	Rah Ahan	34	2	4	28	15:71	10