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Sabadell vs Hercules

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Priego J.
51' Event
Aguilar Elizalde E.
67'
Sub
Escudero Vega R. In: Godoy A.
Out: Escudero Vega R.

AI Match Summary

Sabadell in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sabadell.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Sabadell
35%
Draws
10%
Hercules
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sabadell

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Sabadell have won more games recently than Hercules.
  • Win probability leans Sabadell's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Sabadell Clean Sheet 68%
Hercules Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabadell Hercules
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.65 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.18 0.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sabadell vs Hercules
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs Sabadell
1:5
Feb 2, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Sabadell vs Hercules
1:2
Sep 15, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Hercules vs Sabadell
0:2
Apr 20, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Hercules vs Sabadell
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabadell Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguilar Elizalde E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.59

Hercules Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabadell 95 / 100
Hercules 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabadell Hercules

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sabadell Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabadell went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sabadell scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Hercules conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sabadell VS Hercules
1.5 Goals Scored 0.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.86
88% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabadell

(Home)
09 Aug
Olot
0 : 3
Sabadell
07 Aug
Girona
2 : 2
Sabadell
01 Aug
FC Andorra
0 : 0
Sabadell
31 Jul
Sabadell
1 : 0
Inter Escaldes
29 Jul
Sabadell
2 : 1
CE Manresa
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Hercules

(Away)
14 Aug
Alcoyano
1 : 0
Hercules
13 Aug
Hercules
0 : 2
Valencia
07 Aug
Hercules
0 : 1
Castellon
01 Aug
UCAM Murcia
1 : 1
Hercules
23 May
Hercules
1 : 1
Gimnastic de Tarragona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)