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Sabadell vs Murcia

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Aguilar Elizalde E.
17' Event
Benito P. A. P.
19' Event
Bosilj D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sabadell
40%
Draws
29%
Murcia
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sabadell have won more games recently than Murcia.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sabadell Clean Sheet 18%
Murcia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabadell Murcia
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sabadell vs Murcia
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Sabadell
0:1
Sep 25, 2024 Copa Federacion
Murcia vs Sabadell
1:2
Mar 12, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sabadell vs Murcia
0:0
Dec 11, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Sabadell
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabadell Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonaldo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Benito P. A. P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bosilj D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabadell 32 / 100
Murcia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabadell Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabadell scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Murcia let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Sabadell remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sabadell VS Murcia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabadell

(Home)
25 Jul
Espanyol
1 : 1
Sabadell
18 Jul
Castellon
2 : 0
Sabadell
19 Jun
Sabadell
4 : 0
Zamora
13 Jun
Zamora
1 : 0
Sabadell
05 Jun
Sabadell
3 : 0
Real Madrid B
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Murcia

(Away)
25 Jul
Port Vale
1 : 0
Murcia
24 May
Murcia
3 : 0
Eldense
16 May
Torremolinos
1 : 3
Murcia
10 May
Murcia
1 : 2
Betis B
03 May
Sabadell
2 : 2
Murcia
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eldense381912757:3969
2Sabadell381814653:2768
3Atl. Madrid B381910964:4467
4Villarreal B381615754:3263
5CE Europa3816121055:5060
6FC Cartagena SAD3815121137:3857
7Antequera381681447:4456
8Algeciras3815101340:4155
9Hercules3814121243:4154
10Murcia3814101443:4052
11Alcorcon3812151144:3851
12UD Ibiza3813111444:3850
13Teruel3812131327:3349
14Gimnastic de Tarragona381381740:4947
15Torremolinos3811131445:5146
16Betis B381291748:5945
17Tarazona3811121531:4045
18Marbella38972236:5534
19Sanluqueno387102127:5331
20Sevilla B385132021:4428
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)