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Sabadell vs Real Madrid B

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Priego J.
33' Event
Astals D.
54'
Ramirez Carrasco M. A.

AI Match Summary

Sabadell in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sabadell
30%
Draws
23%
Real Madrid B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sabadell

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Real Madrid B haven't matched Sabadell's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sabadell's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Sabadell have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Madrid B, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Real Madrid B have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sabadell Clean Sheet 20%
Real Madrid B Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabadell Real Madrid B
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 12
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.46 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Sabadell vs Real Madrid B
3:0
May 29, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Madrid B vs Sabadell
2:0
Mar 20, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sabadell vs Real Madrid B
0:2
Nov 20, 2021 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Real Madrid B vs Sabadell
3:0
May 31, 2014 LaLiga2
Real Madrid B vs Sabadell
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabadell Compare

Top Goalscorer Priego J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Astals D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Real Madrid B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabadell 42 / 100
Real Madrid B 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabadell Real Madrid B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabadell scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Real Madrid B has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Sabadell has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sabadell VS Real Madrid B
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabadell

(Home)
26 Sept
Celta Vigo B
1 : 1
Sabadell
20 Sept
Sabadell
3 : 1
Real Oviedo
13 Sept
Mallorca
2 : 0
Sabadell
07 Sept
Sabadell
3 : 2
Cordoba
29 Aug
Sabadell
1 : 0
Almeria
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Real Madrid B

(Away)
23 Sept
Sant Andreu
1 : 1
Real Madrid B
12 Sept
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Real Madrid B
05 Sept
Real Madrid B
2 : 0
Torremolinos
31 Aug
Teruel
0 : 0
Real Madrid B
20 Aug
Real Madrid B
0 : 1
Zamora
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Celta Vigo B 4
CE Europa 3
Atl. Madrid B 0
Ponferradina 1
Sabadell 3
Real Madrid B 2
Zamora 2
Villarreal B 2
Final
Celta Vigo B 4
Ponferradina 1
Sabadell 4
Zamora 1