Sport Picks
Sabah Baku vs Aarhus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
Champions League Bank Respublika Arena, Masazır 
Match Events
8'
8'
Carstensen R.
32'
32'
Andersen J.
58'
58'
Sub
Mbina O. In: Severina X.
Out: Mbina O.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sabah Baku
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Sabah Baku carry the better recent record into this one.
- Aarhus are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Sabah Baku have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sabah Baku, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 18%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sabah Baku | Aarhus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 18 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 Champions League
Sabah Baku vs Aarhus
4:0
Aug 5, 2026 Champions League
Aarhus vs Sabah Baku
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sabah Baku Compare
Top Goalscorer Simic V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Solvet S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Aarhus Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sabah Baku 28 / 100
Aarhus 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sabah Baku Aarhus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aarhus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sabah Baku's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Aarhus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Sabah Baku has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sabah Baku VS Aarhus
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sabah Baku
(Home) 09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0 Sabah Baku
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1 Imisli FK
14 Sept
Safa Baku
0 : 3 Sabah Baku
10 Sept
Manchester United
4 : 0 Sabah Baku
05 Sept
Sabah Baku
5 : 0 Zira FK
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1 Imisli FK
05 Sept
Sabah Baku
5 : 0 Zira FK
25 Aug
Sabah Baku
5 : 2 H. Beer Sheva
15 Aug
Sabah Baku
2 : 0 Kapaz
11 Aug
Sabah Baku
4 : 0 Aarhus
Page 1 of 3
Aarhus
(Away) 02 Oct
Aarhus
2 : 1 Vendsyssel FF
20 Sept
Horsens
2 : 2 Aarhus
16 Sept
Skjold
1 : 6 Aarhus
13 Sept
Nordsjaelland
2 : 0 Aarhus
05 Sept
Aarhus
2 : 2 Silkeborg
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Horsens
2 : 2 Aarhus
16 Sept
Skjold
1 : 6 Aarhus
13 Sept
Nordsjaelland
2 : 0 Aarhus
30 Aug
Randers FC
2 : 1 Aarhus
20 Aug
Benfica
3 : 1 Aarhus
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Borac Banja Luka 1
Levski Sofia 5
ML Vitebsk 1
Univ. Craiova 5
Omonia -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty 4
Sutjeska 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Klaksvik 4
Bissen 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Drita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 4
Inter Escaldes 2
Flora 4
Iberia 1999 5
TBD -
Slovan Bratislava -
Ararat-Armenia 4
Riga FC 3
Floriana 3
Shamrock Rovers 5
Petrocub Hincesti 2
KF Egnatia 7
TBD -
Celje -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Gyor 2
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Tre Fiori 1
Larne 3
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Aarhus -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sabah Baku 4
TNS 1
Vardar 3
KuPS 4
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Sturm Graz -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia 3
Univ. Craiova 2
Omonia 1
Kairat Almaty 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun 3
Din. Zagreb 4
Klaksvik 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 3
Lincoln Red Imps 0
Iberia 1999 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
Ararat-Armenia 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
KF Egnatia 5
Celje 6
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
H. Beer Sheva 3
Larne 0
Crvena zvezda 9
Aarhus 6
Lech Poznan 5
Sabah Baku 3
KuPS 0
Fenerbahce 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
Sturm Graz 6
Hearts 0
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Semi-finals
Levski Sofia 2
Kairat Almaty 0
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb 7
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 1
Slovan Bratislava 4
Ararat-Armenia 2
Celje 3
H. Beer Sheva 3
Crvena zvezda 0
Aarhus 2
Sabah Baku 5
Fenerbahce 3
Sturm Graz 0
Sparta Prague 2
Lyon 4
Olympiacos Piraeus 1
Nijmegen 2
Royale Union SG 5
Bodo/Glimt 6
Final
Levski Sofia 0
AEK 4
Celtic 4
LASK Linz 5
Din. Zagreb 3
Viking 5
Slovan Bratislava 3
Celje 2
H. Beer Sheva 4
Sabah Baku 6
Fenerbahce 3
Lyon 2
Nijmegen 1
Bodo/Glimt 6
