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Sabah Baku vs H. Beer Sheva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Champions League Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku
Sabah Baku Logo

Sabah Baku

Tue, Aug 25, 2026
5 - 2
04:45 PM
H. Beer Sheva Logo

H. Beer Sheva

Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Zlatanovic I.
10' Event
Zlatanovic I.
21'
Parris K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-2. The second leg ended 5-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sabah Baku
20%
Draws
40%
H. Beer Sheva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sabah Baku come out ahead of H. Beer Sheva on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Sabah Baku have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sabah Baku, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 19%
H. Beer Sheva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabah Baku H. Beer Sheva
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 18 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.93 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Champions League
Sabah Baku vs H. Beer Sheva
5:2
Aug 19, 2026 Champions League
H. Beer Sheva vs Sabah Baku
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabah Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Nwachukwu C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rakhmonaliyev U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

H. Beer Sheva Compare

Top Goalscorer Zlatanovic I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mizrahi G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabah Baku 32 / 100
H. Beer Sheva 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabah Baku H. Beer Sheva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick H. Beer Sheva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sabah Baku scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: H. Beer Sheva conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sabah Baku stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sabah Baku VS H. Beer Sheva
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabah Baku

(Home)
09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0
Sabah Baku
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
14 Sept
Safa Baku
0 : 3
Sabah Baku
10 Sept
Manchester United
4 : 0
Sabah Baku
05 Sept
Sabah Baku
5 : 0
Zira FK
Page 1 of 6

H. Beer Sheva

(Away)
10 Oct
Ironi Tiberias
0 : 2
H. Beer Sheva
19 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 0
Shmona
16 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
0 : 0
Din. Zagreb
13 Sept
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0 : 2
H. Beer Sheva
07 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 4
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Borac Banja Luka 1
Levski Sofia 5
ML Vitebsk 1
Univ. Craiova 5
Omonia -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty 4
Sutjeska 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Klaksvik 4
Bissen 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Drita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 4
Inter Escaldes 2
Flora 4
Iberia 1999 5
TBD -
Slovan Bratislava -
Ararat-Armenia 4
Riga FC 3
Floriana 3
Shamrock Rovers 5
Petrocub Hincesti 2
KF Egnatia 7
TBD -
Celje -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Gyor 2
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Tre Fiori 1
Larne 3
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Aarhus -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sabah Baku 4
TNS 1
Vardar 3
KuPS 4
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Sturm Graz -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia 3
Univ. Craiova 2
Omonia 1
Kairat Almaty 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun 3
Din. Zagreb 4
Klaksvik 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 3
Lincoln Red Imps 0
Iberia 1999 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
Ararat-Armenia 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
KF Egnatia 5
Celje 6
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
H. Beer Sheva 3
Larne 0
Crvena zvezda 9
Aarhus 6
Lech Poznan 5
Sabah Baku 3
KuPS 0
Fenerbahce 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
Sturm Graz 6
Hearts 0
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Semi-finals
Levski Sofia 2
Kairat Almaty 0
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb 7
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 1
Slovan Bratislava 4
Ararat-Armenia 2
Celje 3
H. Beer Sheva 3
Crvena zvezda 0
Aarhus 2
Sabah Baku 5
Fenerbahce 3
Sturm Graz 0
Sparta Prague 2
Lyon 4
Olympiacos Piraeus 1
Nijmegen 2
Royale Union SG 5
Bodo/Glimt 6
Final
Levski Sofia 0
AEK 4
Celtic 4
LASK Linz 5
Din. Zagreb 3
Viking 5
Slovan Bratislava 3
Celje 2
H. Beer Sheva 4
Sabah Baku 6
Fenerbahce 3
Lyon 2
Nijmegen 1
Bodo/Glimt 6