Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sabah Baku vs Imisli FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Bank Respublika Arena, Masazır
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mammadzada S.
Own Goal
35' Event
Rakhmonaliyev U.
44'
Salahly A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Sabah Baku and Imisli FK finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sabah Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Sabah Baku
15%
Draws
20%
Imisli FK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sabah Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sabah Baku come out ahead of Imisli FK on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sabah Baku a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sabah Baku have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 20%
Imisli FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabah Baku Imisli FK
Matches Played 40 28
Wins 28 4
Draws 6 11
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.23 0.61
Goals Conceded 0.95 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Imisli FK
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Sabah Baku
0:5
Dec 3, 2025 Azerbaijan Cup
Imisli FK vs Sabah Baku
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Sabah Baku
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Imisli FK
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabah Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Rakhmonaliyev U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parris K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Imisli FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronaldo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabah Baku 58 / 100
Imisli FK 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabah Baku Imisli FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sabah Baku Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabah Baku's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Imisli FK conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Sabah Baku went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sabah Baku VS Imisli FK
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabah Baku

(Home)
09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0
Sabah Baku
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
14 Sept
Safa Baku
0 : 3
Sabah Baku
10 Sept
Manchester United
4 : 0
Sabah Baku
05 Sept
Sabah Baku
5 : 0
Zira FK
Page 1 of 8

Imisli FK

(Away)
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
11 Sept
Imisli FK
2 : 3
Neftci Baku
04 Sept
Gabala
2 : 1
Imisli FK
29 Aug
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Imisli FK
22 Aug
Zira FK
3 : 1
Imisli FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Sabah Baku 6 5 1 0 14:1 16
3 Qarabag Agdam 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
4 Turan 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
5 Zira FK 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
6 Kapaz 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
7 Shamakhi 7 2 4 1 9:7 10
8 SumQayit FK 6 1 2 3 8:9 5
9 Gabala 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Imisli FK 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
11 Safa Baku 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
12 Araz PFK 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)