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Sabah vs Melaka FC

Malaysia Malaysia

Malaysia Cup Likas Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sabah play Melaka FC in the Malaysia Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sabah averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Melaka FC averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Sabah won 0, Melaka FC won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 23, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Sabah and 0.88 for Melaka FC. This points to a Sabah double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sabah
35%
Draws
25%
Melaka FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sabah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sabah picked up more points recently compared to Melaka FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Sabah Clean Sheet 25%
Melaka FC Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabah Melaka FC
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.42 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.61 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Super League
Melaka FC vs Sabah
1:0
Jan 22, 2026 Malaysia Cup
Sabah vs Melaka FC
0:3
Jan 17, 2026 Malaysia Cup
Melaka FC vs Sabah
2:2
Aug 29, 2025 Super League
Sabah vs Melaka FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabah Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Melaka FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Shamsaldin A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Che Halim R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabah 41 / 100
Melaka FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabah Melaka FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sabah or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sabah attacking → ← attacking Melaka FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabah scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Melaka FC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Sabah went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Melaka FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 23
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13