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Sabail 2 vs Zaqatala PFK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Qurbanov B.
79' Event
Teymurov B.
84' Event
Badirov K.

AI Match Summary

Sabail 2 in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sabail 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sabail 2
30%
Draws
33%
Zaqatala PFK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sabail 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sabail 2 lately — more wins on the board than Zaqatala PFK.
  • Win probability leans Sabail 2's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sabail 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabail 2 Zaqatala PFK
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.53 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2023 I Liqa
Sabail 2 vs Zaqatala PFK
3:1
Sep 14, 2022 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Sabail 2
5:4
Mar 2, 2022 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Sabail 2
3:2
Sep 29, 2021 I Liqa
Sabail 2 vs Zaqatala PFK
2:0
Mar 5, 2020 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Sabail 2
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabail 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Qurbanov B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Badirov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Zaqatala PFK Compare

Top Goalscorer Teymurov B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabail 2 49 / 100
Zaqatala PFK 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabail 2 Zaqatala PFK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sabail 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabail 2 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Zaqatala PFK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Sabail 2 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zaqatala PFK
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabail 2

(Home)
23 May
Mingachevir
1 : 1
Sabail 2
16 May
Sabail 2
0 : 0
MOIK Baku
08 May
Araz PFK
3 : 1
Sabail 2
04 May
Sabail 2
1 : 0
Gabala 2
24 Apr
Turan 2
0 : 2
Sabail 2
Page 1 of 6

Zaqatala PFK

(Away)
07 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
6 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
10 Sept
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Baku Sporting
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
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