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Sacavenense U19 vs Nacional U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sacavenense U19 play Nacional U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sacavenense U19 averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. Nacional U19 averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. In past meetings, Sacavenense U19 won 0, Nacional U19 won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 23, 2022 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Sacavenense U19 and 1.36 for Nacional U19. This points to a Nacional U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Sacavenense U19
28%
Draws
53%
Nacional U19
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Nacional U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sacavenense U19 picked up more points recently compared to Nacional U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Sacavenense U19 Clean Sheet 18%
Nacional U19 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sacavenense U19 Nacional U19
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 12
Draws 7 13
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.15

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sacavenense U19 vs Nacional U19
1:2
Feb 27, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Nacional U19 vs Sacavenense U19
1:0
Nov 13, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sacavenense U19 vs Nacional U19
0:4
Oct 27, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Nacional U19 vs Sacavenense U19
2:1
May 13, 2017 Campeonato Nacional U19
Nacional U19 vs Sacavenense U19
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sacavenense U19 21 / 100
Nacional U19 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sacavenense U19 Nacional U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Nacional U19 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sacavenense U19 attacking → ← attacking Nacional U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sacavenense U19 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Nacional U19 let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Sacavenense U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nacional U19 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 49
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13