Sport Picks
Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island
USA
USL Championship Heart Health Park, Sacramento, CA 
Match Events
19'
19'
Edwards K.
Assist: Kaye M.
24'
24'
Bacharach Capdevila H.
Assist: Shapiro-Thompson A.
26'
26'
Spaulding R.
AI Match Summary
Sacramento Republic in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sacramento Republic.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Rhode Island
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Rhode Island have won more games recently than Sacramento Republic.
- Model gives Rhode Island a 60% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Sacramento Republic here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sacramento Republic Clean Sheet 14%
Rhode Island Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sacramento Republic | Rhode Island |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 9, 2026 USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island
2:1
Sep 10, 2025 USL Cup
Rhode Island vs Sacramento Republic
0:1
Jun 21, 2025 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Sacramento Republic
0:2
May 11, 2024 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Sacramento Republic
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sacramento Republic Compare
Top Goalscorer Edwards K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Malango M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Rhode Island Compare
Top Goalscorer Bacharach Capdevila H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sacramento Republic 19 / 100
Rhode Island 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sacramento Republic Rhode Island
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RHO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sacramento Republic's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Rhode Island conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Sacramento Republic stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sacramento Republic VS Rhode Island
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sacramento Republic
(Home) 26 Jul
Oakland Roots
1 : 3 Sacramento Republic
18 Jul
Charleston
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
12 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 0 Sacramento Republic
09 Jul
Sacramento Republic
2 : 1 Rhode Island
21 Jun
Sacramento Republic
0 : 1 New Mexico
Page 1 of 6
09 Jul
Sacramento Republic
2 : 1 Rhode Island
21 Jun
Sacramento Republic
0 : 1 New Mexico
07 Jun
Sacramento Republic
2 : 1 Monterey Bay
03 May
Sacramento Republic
3 : 2 Orange County SC
26 Apr
Sacramento Republic
4 : 0 Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 3
Rhode Island
(Away) 25 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 1 Rhode Island
18 Jul
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Hartford Athletic
11 Jul
Rhode Island
2 : 1 Brooklyn FC
09 Jul
Sacramento Republic
2 : 1 Rhode Island
04 Jul
Rhode Island
1 : 1 Orange County SC
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 1 Rhode Island
09 Jul
Sacramento Republic
2 : 1 Rhode Island
13 Jun
Loudoun United
1 : 4 Rhode Island
30 May
Indy Eleven
1 : 0 Rhode Island
16 May
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 : 1 Rhode Island
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 28:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Charleston | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32:24 | 27 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:15 | 27 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Rhode Island | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | 21 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 22:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 12:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 19:29 | 15 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:27 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23:46 | 8 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 31 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 28 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 4 | New Mexico | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:15 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Tulsa | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Lexington | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:20 | 22 |
| 8 | El Paso Locomotive | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 22 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25:27 | 21 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17:27 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
