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Sacramento Republic vs San Jose Earthquakes II

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Club Friendly 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Sacramento Republic and San Jose Earthquakes II finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sacramento Republic
39%
Draws
30%
San Jose Earthquakes II
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • San Jose Earthquakes II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sacramento Republic Clean Sheet 13%
San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sacramento Republic San Jose Earthquakes II
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 0
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.88 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Sacramento Republic vs San Jose Earthquakes II
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sacramento Republic 31 / 100
San Jose Earthquakes II 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sacramento Republic San Jose Earthquakes II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sacramento Republic scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: San Jose Earthquakes II conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Sacramento Republic remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: San Jose Earthquakes II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sacramento Republic VS San Jose Earthquakes II
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%