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Sadovo vs Karnobat

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2018/2019
Sadovo Logo

Sadovo

0 - 1
FT
Karnobat Logo

Karnobat

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Karnobat in this Third League - South-East 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karnobat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sadovo
15%
Draws
0%
Karnobat
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sadovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sadovo have won more games recently than Karnobat.
  • Sadovo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.2%
Sadovo Clean Sheet 20%
Karnobat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sadovo Karnobat
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 5 2
Draws 1 3
Losses 24 31
Goals Scored 0.47 0.31
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2019 Third League - South-East
Sadovo vs Karnobat
0:1
Aug 18, 2018 Third League - South-East
Karnobat vs Sadovo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sadovo 85 / 100
Karnobat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sadovo Karnobat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sadovo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Karnobat conceded in 89% of 36 recent games.

Difficult form: Karnobat registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Sadovo found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Karnobat
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 3.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sadovo

(Home)
24 May
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Sadovo
18 May
Sadovo
2 : 0
Svilengrad 1921
14 May
Sadovo
1 : 2
Sokol Markovo
12 May
Levski Karlovo
2 : 0
Sadovo
08 May
Sadovo
1 : 4
Neftochimic Burgas
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Karnobat

(Away)
31 May
Maritsa Milevo
3 : 0
Karnobat
24 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
Dimitrovgrad
17 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
14 May
Yambol 1915
3 : 0
Karnobat
10 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
Spartak Plovdiv
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftochimic Burgas 34 29 3 2 88:21 90
2 Sozopol 34 27 4 3 74:27 85
3 Zagorets 34 24 5 5 81:22 77
4 Chernomorets 1919 34 21 5 8 76:35 68
5 Maritsa Plovdiv 34 16 10 8 44:29 58
6 Radnevo 34 17 5 12 46:30 56
7 OFC Haskovo 34 14 8 12 54:47 50
8 Rozova Dolina 34 14 6 14 58:50 48
9 Atletik Kuklen 34 13 7 14 48:46 46
10 Sokol Markovo 34 12 6 16 46:58 42
11 Gigant Saedinenie 34 11 8 15 32:36 41
12 Borislav Parvomay 34 12 3 19 44:47 39
13 Karnobat 34 10 7 17 41:67 37
14 Levski Karlovo 34 9 9 16 25:52 36
15 Dimitrovgrad 34 9 4 21 30:54 31
16 Svilengrad 1921 34 7 8 19 30:69 29
17 Sadovo 34 6 1 27 18:90 19
18 Asenovets 34 3 5 26 36:91 14
Promotion - Vtora liga 2019/2020 (Main)