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Sadovo vs Neftochimic Burgas

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2018/2019 game between Sadovo and Neftochimic Burgas finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neftochimic Burgas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sadovo
15%
Draws
64%
Neftochimic Burgas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neftochimic Burgas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Neftochimic Burgas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Neftochimic Burgas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Sadovo Clean Sheet 15%
Neftochimic Burgas Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sadovo Neftochimic Burgas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 18
Draws 1 7
Losses 24 5
Goals Scored 0.47 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2019 Third League - South-East
Sadovo vs Neftochimic Burgas
1:4
Nov 3, 2018 Third League - South-East
Neftochimic Burgas vs Sadovo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sadovo 10 / 100
Neftochimic Burgas 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sadovo Neftochimic Burgas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neftochimic Burgas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Sadovo scored in 33% of their last 30 outings.

Neftochimic Burgas has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Sadovo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Neftochimic Burgas
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sadovo

(Home)
24 May
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Sadovo
18 May
Sadovo
2 : 0
Svilengrad 1921
14 May
Sadovo
1 : 2
Sokol Markovo
12 May
Levski Karlovo
2 : 0
Sadovo
08 May
Sadovo
1 : 4
Neftochimic Burgas
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Neftochimic Burgas

(Away)
26 Sept
Yambol 1915
0 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0
Zagorets
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
29 Aug
Krumovgrad
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftochimic Burgas 34 29 3 2 88:21 90
2 Sozopol 34 27 4 3 74:27 85
3 Zagorets 34 24 5 5 81:22 77
4 Chernomorets 1919 34 21 5 8 76:35 68
5 Maritsa Plovdiv 34 16 10 8 44:29 58
6 Radnevo 34 17 5 12 46:30 56
7 OFC Haskovo 34 14 8 12 54:47 50
8 Rozova Dolina 34 14 6 14 58:50 48
9 Atletik Kuklen 34 13 7 14 48:46 46
10 Sokol Markovo 34 12 6 16 46:58 42
11 Gigant Saedinenie 34 11 8 15 32:36 41
12 Borislav Parvomay 34 12 3 19 44:47 39
13 Karnobat 34 10 7 17 41:67 37
14 Levski Karlovo 34 9 9 16 25:52 36
15 Dimitrovgrad 34 9 4 21 30:54 31
16 Svilengrad 1921 34 7 8 19 30:69 29
17 Sadovo 34 6 1 27 18:90 19
18 Asenovets 34 3 5 26 36:91 14
Promotion - Vtora liga 2019/2020 (Main)