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Safa Baku vs Karat Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2004/2005 ASK Arena, Baku
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2004/2005 game between Safa Baku and Karat Baku finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karat Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Safa Baku
6%
Draws
4%
Karat Baku
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Safa Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Safa Baku carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Safa Baku's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2004/2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Safa Baku Clean Sheet 20%
Karat Baku Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Safa Baku Karat Baku
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 9 2
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2005 Premier League
Safa Baku vs Karat Baku
0:3
Dec 12, 2004 Premier League
Karat Baku vs Safa Baku
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa Baku 85 / 100
Karat Baku 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Safa Baku Karat Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Safa Baku found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Karat Baku's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Safa Baku stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Safa Baku VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Safa Baku

(Home)
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
15 May
Safa Baku
1 : 0
Cebrayil
06 May
Difai Agsu
0 : 0
Safa Baku
29 Apr
Safa Baku
0 : 0
Shimal
22 Apr
Safa Baku
3 : 0
MOIK Baku
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Karat Baku

(Away)
23 May
Shamkir
1 : 2
Karat Baku
19 May
Karat Baku
0 : 1
FK Baku
14 May
Safa Baku
0 : 3
Karat Baku
08 May
Karat Baku
1 : 3
Turan
02 May
Kapaz
4 : 1
Karat Baku
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Khazar Lenkoran34246468:1578
2Neftci Baku34246452:1878
3Karvan34237466:1876
4FK Baku342110360:1473
5Turan34227564:2173
6Qarabag Agdam34225761:3171
7Shamakhi34199644:2466
8Imisli FK34169935:2357
9Kapaz341191437:3742
10Karat Baku341241840:6240
11Goyazan Qazax34961930:5233
12Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit34961932:5833
13Shamkir34952034:4832
14Sahdag Qusar34881829:5132
15MOIK Baku34791824:3430
16Adliyya Baku34742324:6625
17Bakili Baku34352622:7114
18Safa Baku34213116:957
Promotion - Premier League 2004/2005 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2004/2005 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Intertoto Cup 2005 (Main)