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Safa Baku vs Sabah Baku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League ASK Arena, Baku
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Mbina O.
30' Event
Khaybulaev A.
58'
Sub
Fuller T. In: Qanbarov V.
Out: Fuller T.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Safa Baku and Sabah Baku finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sabah Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Safa Baku
15%
Draws
65%
Sabah Baku
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sabah Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Sabah Baku carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sabah Baku a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Safa Baku Clean Sheet 10%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Safa Baku Sabah Baku
Matches Played 28 40
Wins 12 28
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.36 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.95
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Premier League
Safa Baku vs Sabah Baku
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Safa Baku Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sabah Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbina O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khaybulaev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa Baku 10 / 100
Sabah Baku 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Safa Baku Sabah Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sabah Baku Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Safa Baku scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sabah Baku has conceded goals in 57% of their last 40 outings.

Solid form: Safa Baku remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Safa Baku VS Sabah Baku
0.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Safa Baku

(Home)
18 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 0
Safa Baku
14 Sept
Safa Baku
0 : 3
Sabah Baku
05 Sept
Neftci Baku
4 : 1
Safa Baku
29 Aug
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Imisli FK
22 Aug
Gabala
0 : 1
Safa Baku
Page 1 of 6

Sabah Baku

(Away)
09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0
Sabah Baku
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
14 Sept
Safa Baku
0 : 3
Sabah Baku
10 Sept
Manchester United
4 : 0
Sabah Baku
05 Sept
Sabah Baku
5 : 0
Zira FK
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Sabah Baku 6 5 1 0 14:1 16
3 Qarabag Agdam 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
4 Turan 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
5 Zira FK 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
6 Kapaz 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
7 Shamakhi 7 2 4 1 9:7 10
8 SumQayit FK 6 1 2 3 8:9 5
9 Gabala 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Imisli FK 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
11 Safa Baku 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
12 Araz PFK 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)