Sport Picks

Lebanon

Premier League 2016/2017

Akha

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Safa play Akha in the Premier League 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Safa averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Akha averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Safa won 2, Akha won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 16, 2017 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Safa and 0.94 for Akha. This points to a Safa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Safa

23%

Draws

30%

Akha

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Safa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Safa picked up more points recently compared to Akha.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Safa Clean Sheet 24%

Akha Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Safa	Akha
Matches Played	42	30
Wins	23	12
Draws	8	3
Losses	11	15
Goals Scored	1.74	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.07	1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2017 Premier League

Safa vs Akha

Possession: 49% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

1:4

Sep 25, 2016 Premier League

Akha vs Safa

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Jan 31, 2015 Premier League

Akha vs Safa

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 0 - 1

0:0

Oct 25, 2014 Premier League

Safa vs Akha

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 0 - 0

2:1

Mar 29, 2014 Premier League

Safa vs Akha

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa 47 / 100

Akha 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Safa Akha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Safa or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Safa attacking → ← attacking Akha

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Safa scored in 79% of their last 42 games.

Akha let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Safa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Akha lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

77 Points in last 5 39

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Ahed	22	15	4	3	41:14	49
2	Salam Zgharta	22	12	4	6	35:29	40
3	Nejmeh SC	22	11	6	5	36:22	33
4	Al Ansar	22	9	5	8	35:40	32
5	Shabab Baalbeck	22	9	4	9	26:24	31
6	Tadamon	22	9	3	10	25:25	30
7	Racing	22	8	6	8	26:30	30
8	Akha	22	9	2	11	35:37	29
9	Tripoli SC	22	8	4	10	34:31	28
10	Safa	22	8	6	8	32:32	27
11	Al Sahel	22	7	4	11	20:23	25
12	Al Egtmaaey Tripoli	22	2	2	18	21:59	8