Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Safa vs Al Sahel

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Safa Logo

Safa

1 - 0
FT
Al Sahel Logo

Al Sahel

Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Haider H.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Safa in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Safa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Safa
20%
Draws
33%
Al Sahel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Safa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Safa lately — more wins on the board than Al Sahel.
  • Model gives Safa a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Safa Clean Sheet 68%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Safa Al Sahel
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Safa
0:1
Dec 30, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Al Sahel
1:0
Jan 31, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Al Sahel
2:0
Aug 25, 2023 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Safa
1:1
Nov 26, 2022 Premier League
Safa vs Al Sahel
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa 86 / 100
Al Sahel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Safa Al Sahel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Safa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Safa scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Al Sahel has conceded goals in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Safa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Safa VS Al Sahel
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Safa

(Home)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
28 Jun
Jwayya SC
1 : 1
Safa
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
Page 1 of 7

Al Sahel

(Away)
02 Jul
Jwayya SC
0 : 0
Al Sahel
28 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 2
Al Sahel
24 Jun
Al Sahel
3 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
16 Jun
Al Sahel
2 : 0
Racing
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)