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Safa vs Al Sahel

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Haider H.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Safa in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Safa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Safa
11%
Draws
9%
Al Sahel
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Safa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Safa lately — more wins on the board than Al Sahel.
  • Model gives Safa a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Safa Clean Sheet 68%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Safa Al Sahel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Safa
0:1
Dec 30, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Al Sahel
1:0
Jan 31, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Al Sahel
2:0
Aug 25, 2023 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Safa
1:1
Nov 26, 2022 Premier League
Safa vs Al Sahel
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa 86 / 100
Al Sahel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Safa Al Sahel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Safa scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Al Sahel has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Safa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Safa VS Al Sahel
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar21172253:953
2Nejmeh SC21144342:1046
3Al Ahed21131734:2240
4Jwayya SC21115531:1438
5Safa21113730:1736
6Al Hikma2193929:2730
7Al Sahel2176822:2127
8Al-Mabarrah2157912:3622
9Al Riyadi Abbasiyah21551116:3020
10Tadamon21381012:2617
11Racing2101204:611
12Bourj113178:2010