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Safa vs Nejmeh SC

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Safa Logo

Safa

1 - 0
FT
Nejmeh SC Logo

Nejmeh SC

Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Kdouh M. J.
Assist: Haider H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Safa and Nejmeh SC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Safa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Safa
20%
Draws
40%
Nejmeh SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Nejmeh SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Safa a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Safa Clean Sheet 68%
Nejmeh SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Safa Nejmeh SC
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 16 23
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.55 2
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Premier League
Safa vs Nejmeh SC
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Safa
1:0
Jun 26, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Nejmeh SC
3:3
May 13, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Nejmeh SC
2:1
Apr 13, 2025 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Safa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Safa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kdouh M. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Nejmeh SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.63
Avg xA / game 0.99

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa 50 / 100
Nejmeh SC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Safa Nejmeh SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Safa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Safa scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Safa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Nejmeh SC has conceded goals in 53% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

Safa VS Nejmeh SC
2.17 Goals Scored 2.25
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.63
83% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Safa

(Home)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
28 Jun
Jwayya SC
1 : 1
Safa
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
Page 1 of 7

Nejmeh SC

(Away)
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
16 Jul
Al Ahed
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)