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Safa vs Racing Bejrut

Lebanon Lebanon

Lebanese Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Safa play Racing Bejrut in the Lebanese Cup 2016/2017. Safa are favorites here. Recently, Safa averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Racing Bejrut averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Safa won 2, Racing Bejrut won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 8, 2017 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Safa and 0.94 for Racing Bejrut. This points to a Safa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Safa
6%
Draws
4%
Racing Bejrut
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Safa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Safa has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Racing Bejrut.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Safa.
  • Cup tournament structure in Lebanese Cup 2016/2017 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Safa Clean Sheet 20%
Racing Bejrut Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Safa Racing Bejrut
Matches Played 39 9
Wins 21 1
Draws 7 0
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2017 Lebanese Cup
Safa vs Racing Bejrut
3:2
Feb 8, 2012 Lebanese Cup
Racing Bejrut vs Safa
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa 85 / 100
Racing Bejrut 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Safa Racing Bejrut

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Safa scored in 79% of their last 39 games.

Racing Bejrut let in goals in 89% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Safa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Racing Bejrut lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Safa VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Safa3
Racing Bejrut2
Tripoli SC0
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed3
Salam Zgharta1
Shabab Al Sahel3
Al Ansar4
Semi-finals
Safa4
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed2
Al Ansar3
Final
Safa0
Al Ansar1