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Sagadam vs Altyn Asyr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sagadam host Altyn Asyr in the Yokary Liga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Sagadam have averaged 0.93 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Altyn Asyr's 2.24 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Sagadam have won 0 to Altyn Asyr's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 2.06, favoring Altyn Asyr. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sagadam
15%
Draws
57%
Altyn Asyr
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altyn Asyr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Altyn Asyr have won more games recently than Sagadam.
  • Model gives Altyn Asyr a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Yokary Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Altyn Asyr have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sagadam Clean Sheet 10%
Altyn Asyr Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sagadam Altyn Asyr
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 20
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.93 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Yokary Liga
Altyn Asyr vs Sagadam
2:0
Jun 13, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Altyn Asyr
0:2
May 3, 2026 Yokary Liga
Altyn Asyr vs Sagadam
2:0
Dec 11, 2025 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Altyn Asyr
1:2
Sep 18, 2025 Yokary Liga
Altyn Asyr vs Sagadam
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sagadam 10 / 100
Altyn Asyr 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sagadam Altyn Asyr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altyn Asyr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altyn Asyr let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Sagadam scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Sagadam went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sagadam VS Altyn Asyr
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sagadam

(Home)
11 Oct
Nebitci
3 : 0
Sagadam
19 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Merw
12 Sept
Altyn Asyr
2 : 0
Sagadam
05 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Ahal
30 Aug
Sagadam
0 : 3
Arkadag
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Altyn Asyr

(Away)
11 Oct
FC Asgabat
2 : 4
Altyn Asyr
07 Oct
Ahal
0 : 2
Altyn Asyr
19 Sept
Nebitci
1 : 3
Altyn Asyr
12 Sept
Altyn Asyr
2 : 0
Sagadam
22 Aug
Altyn Asyr
2 : 5
Arkadag
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