Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sagadam vs FC Asgabat

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sagadam in this Yokary Liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sagadam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Sagadam
17%
Draws
70%
FC Asgabat
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: FC Asgabat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sagadam lately — more wins on the board than FC Asgabat.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on FC Asgabat taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sagadam have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sagadam Clean Sheet 16%
FC Asgabat Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sagadam FC Asgabat
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 0.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs FC Asgabat
0:2
Apr 11, 2026 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Sagadam
1:3
Oct 26, 2025 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs FC Asgabat
2:1
Sep 22, 2025 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Sagadam
0:1
May 3, 2025 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs FC Asgabat
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sagadam 15 / 100
FC Asgabat 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sagadam FC Asgabat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Asgabat has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Sagadam's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Away concern: FC Asgabat has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sagadam VS FC Asgabat
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sagadam

(Home)
20 Jun
Merw
2 : 0
Sagadam
13 Jun
Sagadam
0 : 2
Altyn Asyr
07 Jun
Ahal
1 : 0
Sagadam
30 May
Sagadam
1 : 4
Arkadag
23 May
Kopetdag Asgabat
0 : 0
Sagadam
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FC Asgabat

(Away)
20 Jun
Ahal
4 : 3
FC Asgabat
13 Jun
FC Asgabat
1 : 7
Arkadag
07 Jun
Kopetdag Asgabat
3 : 1
FC Asgabat
30 May
FC Asgabat
5 : 1
Merw
24 May
FC Asgabat
1 : 0
Nebitci
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arkadag282800105:1584
2Ahal28174754:2655
3Altyn Asyr28165754:3553
4Sagadam28127932:3243
5Nebitci28961322:4133
6FC Asgabat28731823:5424
7Kopetdag Asgabat28352021:7214
8Merw28262016:5212
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)