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Sagadam vs FC Asgabat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sagadam host FC Asgabat in the Yokary Liga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Sagadam have averaged 0.97 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against FC Asgabat's 1.14 scored and 2.04 conceded. Past meetings favor Sagadam slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.69 - 1.50) back Sagadam to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Sagadam
20%
Draws
15%
FC Asgabat
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sagadam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sagadam lately — more wins on the board than FC Asgabat.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Sagadam taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sagadam Clean Sheet 16%
FC Asgabat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sagadam FC Asgabat
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.97 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Sagadam
1:0
May 20, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs FC Asgabat
0:2
Apr 11, 2026 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Sagadam
1:3
Oct 26, 2025 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs FC Asgabat
2:1
Sep 22, 2025 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Sagadam
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sagadam 57 / 100
FC Asgabat 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sagadam FC Asgabat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sagadam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Asgabat conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Sagadam has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: FC Asgabat has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sagadam VS FC Asgabat
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sagadam

(Home)
19 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Merw
12 Sept
Altyn Asyr
2 : 0
Sagadam
05 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Ahal
30 Aug
Sagadam
0 : 3
Arkadag
22 Aug
Sagadam
3 : 2
Kopetdag Asgabat
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FC Asgabat

(Away)
19 Sept
FC Asgabat
2 : 5
Ahal
05 Sept
FC Asgabat
1 : 1
Kopetdag Asgabat
30 Aug
Merw
3 : 2
FC Asgabat
26 Aug
Arkadag
3 : 0
FC Asgabat
22 Aug
Nebitci
1 : 1
FC Asgabat
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