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Sagadam vs Kopetdag Asgabat

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Yokary Liga 2025 game between Sagadam and Kopetdag Asgabat finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sagadam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sagadam
6%
Draws
90%
Kopetdag Asgabat
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kopetdag Asgabat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sagadam come out ahead of Kopetdag Asgabat on wins alone.
  • Kopetdag Asgabat are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Yokary Liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sagadam Clean Sheet 18%
Kopetdag Asgabat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sagadam Kopetdag Asgabat
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 0.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Yokary Liga
Kopetdag Asgabat vs Sagadam
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Kopetdag Asgabat
2:0
Dec 15, 2025 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Kopetdag Asgabat
4:1
Aug 11, 2025 Yokary Liga
Kopetdag Asgabat vs Sagadam
2:1
May 14, 2025 Yokary Liga
Kopetdag Asgabat vs Sagadam
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sagadam 10 / 100
Kopetdag Asgabat 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sagadam Kopetdag Asgabat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kopetdag Asgabat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sagadam scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Sagadam went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sagadam VS Kopetdag Asgabat
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arkadag282800105:1584
2Ahal28174754:2655
3Altyn Asyr28165754:3553
4Sagadam28127932:3243
5Nebitci28961322:4133
6FC Asgabat28731823:5424
7Kopetdag Asgabat28352021:7214
8Merw28262016:5212