Sport Picks
Sagan Tosu vs Vanraure - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J2 League Ekimae Real Estate Stadium, Tosu 
AI Match Summary
Sagan Tosu host Vanraure in the J2 League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Vanraure have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Sagan Tosu have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.59. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.00) point toward Sagan Tosu. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sagan Tosu have won more games recently than Vanraure.
- Sagan Tosu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sagan Tosu | Vanraure |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sagan Tosu's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Vanraure let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Sagan Tosu has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Difficult form: Vanraure registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sagan Tosu
(Home)Vanraure
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18:8 | 24 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21:11 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 4 | Toyama | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12:10 | 18 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:9 | 17 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Iwata | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 11 | Sagan Tosu | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | 14 |
| 12 | Tokushima | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10:12 | 14 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 14 | Blaublitz | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 15 | Iwaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:18 | 11 |
| 17 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | 11 |
| 18 | Imabari | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:22 | 11 |
| 19 | Vanraure | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:20 | 11 |
| 20 | Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 10 |
