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Sagan Tosu vs Verspah Oita - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sagan Tosu in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sagan Tosu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sagan Tosu
15%
Draws
42%
Verspah Oita
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sagan Tosu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sagan Tosu lately — more wins on the board than Verspah Oita.
  • Sagan Tosu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sagan Tosu have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Sagan Tosu Clean Sheet 20%
Verspah Oita Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sagan Tosu Verspah Oita
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 17 5
Draws 2 0
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.67 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Sagan Tosu vs Verspah Oita
7:1
Jun 1, 2022 Emperors Cup
Sagan Tosu vs Verspah Oita
1:0
Sep 5, 2015 Emperors Cup
Sagan Tosu vs Verspah Oita
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sagan Tosu 85 / 100
Verspah Oita 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sagan Tosu Verspah Oita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sagan Tosu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sagan Tosu scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Verspah Oita's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 18 matches.

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Verspah Oita registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sagan Tosu VS Verspah Oita
2.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sagan Tosu

(Home)
04 Oct
Blaublitz
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
29 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1
Verdy
26 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 0
Sagan Tosu
23 Sept
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
19 Sept
Sagan Tosu
1 : 3
Iwaki
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Verspah Oita

(Away)
26 Aug
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 0
Verspah Oita
19 Aug
Verspah Oita
3 : 0
Kochi United
28 Jul
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0
Verspah Oita
20 Jul
Sagan Tosu
7 : 1
Verspah Oita
25 May
Okinawa
4 : 1
Verspah Oita
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