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Sagrada vs Caala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Angola Angola

Girabola
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sagrada host Caala in the Girabola. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Sagrada have averaged 1.16 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Caala's 0.97 scored and 0.71 conceded. Past meetings favor Caala slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2022, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.90 vs 1.04, favoring Caala. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sagrada
20%
Draws
29%
Caala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sagrada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Caala have won more games recently than Sagrada.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sagrada Clean Sheet 20%
Caala Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sagrada Caala
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.16 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2022 Girabola
Sagrada vs Caala
1:1
Dec 23, 2021 Girabola
Caala vs Sagrada
0:0
Jul 19, 2021 Girabola
Caala vs Sagrada
1:0
Feb 28, 2021 Girabola
Sagrada vs Caala
1:1
Apr 26, 2020 Girabola
Caala vs Sagrada
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sagrada 31 / 100
Caala 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sagrada Caala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sagrada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sagrada scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Recent resilience: Sagrada stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Caala lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Caala conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sagrada VS Caala
0.63 Goals Scored 0.83
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.17
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sagrada

(Home)
07 Oct
Sagrada
1 : 0
Kabuscorp
12 Sept
CD Lunda Sul
2 : 1
Sagrada
29 Aug
Sagrada
3 : 1
Sao Salvador
22 Aug
Bravos do Maquis
3 : 0
Sagrada
24 May
Sagrada
1 : 1
Primeiro de Maio
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Caala

(Away)
20 Sept
Caala
1 : 2
Bravos do Maquis
13 Sept
Caala
1 : 2
Desportivo Huila
05 Sept
CD Lunda Sul
1 : 2
Caala
27 Aug
Caala
1 : 2
Wiliete
23 Aug
FC Luanda
0 : 0
Caala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wiliete 5 5 0 0 12:1 15
2 Primeiro de Agosto 5 4 1 0 9:5 13
3 Bravos do Maquis 5 4 0 1 7:2 12
4 Petro Atletico 4 3 1 0 6:0 10
5 Interclube 5 3 0 2 6:4 9
6 Desportivo Huila 5 3 0 2 5:4 9
7 Primeiro de Maio 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Sagrada 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
9 C.R.D. Libolo 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
10 CD Lunda Sul 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
11 Kabuscorp 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
12 Caala 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
13 FC Luanda 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
14 Sao Salvador 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
15 Cabinda 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
16 Academica 5 0 0 5 0:9 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)