Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saham vs El Alia

Jordan Jordan

Jordan Cup 2024/2025
Tue, Oct 1, 2024
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Jordan Cup 2024/2025. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Saham at 1.5 goals for, 2 against; El Alia at 0.33 for, 1.67 against. Head-to-head, Saham have won 0 to El Alia's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 1, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 0.93, favoring El Alia. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Saham
15%
Draws
0%
El Alia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saham lately — more wins on the board than El Alia.
  • Saham are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Saham have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Saham Clean Sheet 20%
El Alia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saham El Alia
Matches Played 4 3
Wins 1 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 1.5 0.33
Goals Conceded 2 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2024 Jordan Cup
Saham vs El Alia
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saham 40 / 100
El Alia 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saham El Alia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saham found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (4 games).

Defensive concern: El Alia conceded in 100% of 3 recent games.

Away concern: El Alia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Saham VS El Alia
1.2 Goals Scored 0.25
1.6 Goals Conceded 1.25
80% Over 1.5 50%
80% Over 2.5 25%
20% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saham

(Home)
30 Aug
Ittihad Jerash
2 : 1
Saham
21 Aug
Al Buqaa
2 : 1
Saham
28 Jul
Saham
2 : 1
Ghor Al-Safi
15 Aug
Al Buqaa
3 : 2
Saham

El Alia

(Away)
27 Sept
Al Ahli
2 : 0
El Alia
29 Jul
Rabaa Serhan
1 : 0
El Alia
09 Aug
El Alia
1 : 2
Al Husn

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Ramtha 1
Al Jazeera Amman 0
Al Ahli 2
Shabab Al Ordon 1
Al Wehdat 5
Maan 1
Sama Al Sarhan 2
Al Sareeh 1
Moghayer Al Sarhan 4
Sahab 2
Aqaba 0
Al-Faisaly Amman 5
Al Jalil 1
Al Salt 4
Al Arabi Irbid (Jordan) 0
Al Hussein 2
Quarter-finals
Al Ramtha 1
Al Ahli 2
Al Wehdat 3
Sama Al Sarhan 0
Moghayer Al Sarhan 1
Al-Faisaly Amman 3
Al Salt 1
Al Hussein 2
Semi-finals
Al Ahli 0
Al Wehdat 1
Al-Faisaly Amman 0
Al Hussein 1
Final
Al Wehdat 1
Al Hussein 0