Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sahdag Qusar vs Ravan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sahdag Qusar in this First Division 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sahdag Qusar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Sahdag Qusar
20%
Draws
0%
Ravan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Sahdag Qusar have won more games recently than Ravan.
  • Sahdag Qusar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First Division 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 20%
Ravan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sahdag Qusar Ravan
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 20 7
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.56 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.92 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2017 I Liqa
Ravan vs Sahdag Qusar
0:3
Nov 25, 2016 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Ravan
4:1
May 27, 2015 I Liqa
Ravan vs Sahdag Qusar
1:0
Nov 22, 2014 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Ravan
1:0
Mar 5, 2011 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Ravan
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sahdag Qusar 85 / 100
Ravan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sahdag Qusar Ravan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahdag Qusar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ravan has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Sahdag Qusar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Ravan registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sahdag Qusar scored in 79% of their last 39 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sahdag Qusar VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sahdag Qusar

(Home)
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 8

Ravan

(Away)
27 Apr
Ravan
0 : 3
Sahdag Qusar
21 Apr
Sharurspor
0 : 0
Ravan
13 Apr
Ravan
0 : 3
Agsu (Inactive)
09 Apr
Sabail
3 : 0
Ravan
26 Mar
Ravan
0 : 3
Mingachevir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turan 26 18 7 1 62:11 61
2 Sabail 26 18 3 5 80:25 57
3 Agsu (Inactive) 26 16 5 5 63:21 53
4 Lokbatan 26 17 1 8 64:31 52
5 Zaqatala PFK 26 15 4 7 69:31 49
6 Shamkir 26 15 3 8 41:20 48
7 Imisli FK 26 13 5 8 53:33 44
8 MOIK Baku 26 10 6 10 47:31 36
9 Sahdag Qusar 26 8 6 12 36:45 30
10 Sharurspor 26 7 4 15 36:51 25
11 Mingachevir 26 5 5 16 25:86 20
12 Bakili Baku 26 3 2 21 30:99 11
13 Goyazan Qazax 26 2 4 20 20:99 10
14 Ravan 26 6 1 19 24:67 10
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)