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Sahel vs Police

Niger Niger

Super Ligue 2025/2026 Stade Général Seyni Kountché, Niamey
Sahel Logo

Sahel

0 - 1
FT
Police Logo

Police

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Police in this Super Ligue 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Police.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sahel
35%
Draws
23%
Police
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Police have won more games recently than Sahel.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Sahel Clean Sheet 20%
Police Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sahel Police
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 11
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 0.8 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Super Ligue
Sahel vs Police
0:1
Dec 14, 2025 Super Ligue
Police vs Sahel
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 Super Ligue
Police vs Sahel
0:2
Dec 28, 2024 Super Ligue
Sahel vs Police
0:1
Jun 24, 2024 Super Ligue
Police vs Sahel
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sahel 31 / 100
Police 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sahel Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Sahel stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Sahel's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Police conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sahel VS Police
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sahel

(Home)
26 Sept
Sahel
3 : 1
Tagour
20 Sept
Sahel
1 : 0
JS Tahoua
13 Sept
Niima
1 : 1
Sahel
04 Sept
Liberte
0 : 2
Sahel
19 Jun
Sahel
2 : 1
Renaissance
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Police

(Away)
26 Sept
Nigelec
0 : 0
Police
16 Sept
Police
1 : 1
Wombeye
06 Sept
Espoir
0 : 2
Police
19 Jun
AS Garde Nationale
1 : 1
Police
10 Jun
Police
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)