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Saint-Denis vs Sainte Rose

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 game between Saint-Denis and Sainte Rose finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint-Denis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Saint-Denis
35%
Draws
32%
Sainte Rose
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Saint-Denis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Saint-Denis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Saint-Denis Clean Sheet 20%
Sainte Rose Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Denis Sainte Rose
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.09 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Saint-Denis
0:0
Jun 6, 2025 Regionale 1
Saint-Denis vs Sainte Rose
2:1
Nov 24, 2024 Regionale 1
Saint-Denis vs Sainte Rose
0:2
Mar 17, 2024 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Saint-Denis
0:4
Jul 17, 2022 Regionale 1
Saint-Denis vs Sainte Rose
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Denis 58 / 100
Sainte Rose 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Denis Sainte Rose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Denis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint-Denis found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Sainte Rose has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Saint-Denis has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saint-Denis VS Sainte Rose
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint-Denis

(Home)
23 Nov
Piton Saint-Leu
1 : 0
Saint-Denis
09 Nov
Saint-Denis
2 : 2
Jeanne d'Arc
02 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 1
Saint-Denis
19 Oct
Sainte Rose
0 : 0
Saint-Denis
12 Oct
Saint-Denis
4 : 0
Trois Bassins
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Sainte Rose

(Away)
23 Nov
Saint Louis
2 : 2
Sainte Rose
09 Nov
Sainte Rose
4 : 1
Piton Saint-Leu
02 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
1 : 2
Sainte Rose
19 Oct
Sainte Rose
0 : 0
Saint-Denis
12 Oct
Tamponnaise
2 : 0
Sainte Rose
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