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Saint Eloois vs Leuven B

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint Eloois play Leuven B in the National Division 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Saint Eloois averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Leuven B averaged 1.82 goals scored and 2.12 conceded. In past meetings, Saint Eloois won 1, Leuven B won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 14, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Saint Eloois and 1.55 for Leuven B. This points to a Saint Eloois double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Saint Eloois
22%
Draws
30%
Leuven B
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Saint Eloois

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Saint Eloois picked up more points recently compared to Leuven B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 1.55 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Saint Eloois Clean Sheet 15%
Leuven B Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Eloois Leuven B
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.47 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.12

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 National Division 1
Saint Eloois vs Leuven B
2:1
Oct 1, 2023 National Division 1
Leuven B vs Saint Eloois
3:3
May 20, 2023 National Division 1
Leuven B vs Saint Eloois
4:0
Nov 6, 2022 National Division 1
Saint Eloois vs Leuven B
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Eloois Compare

Top Goalscorer Perbet J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Leuven B Compare

Top Goalscorer Idumbo-Muzambo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Eloois 46 / 100
Leuven B 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Eloois Leuven B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Saint Eloois or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Saint Eloois attacking → ← attacking Leuven B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Eloois scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Leuven B let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Saint Eloois went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Leuven B lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 34
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1RAAL La Louviere34265376:1983
2Sporting Lokeren34224857:3170
3Knokke341591054:3954
4Charleroi B341581154:4253
5Thes Sport341631555:6051
6Heist341561355:5251
7Hoogstraten341471344:5049
8Saint Eloois3413101146:4449
9Gent B341213959:4149
10OC Charleroi3412111155:5547
11Virton341371447:5446
12Dessel341351657:5844
13Tienen341281444:4344
14Antwerp B341241839:5440
15Namur341231939:5939
16Leuven B34862042:6530
17URSL Vise346111739:5928
18Cappellen34762136:7327