Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Hasely Crawford Stadium, Port of Spain
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Kelly K.
Assist: Sawyers R.
29' Event
Perez Y. Y.
Assist: Delgado Blanco A.
38' Event
Catasus D.
Assist: Camejo M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
35%
Draws
29%
Cuba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Saint Kitts and Nevis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Saint Kitts and Nevis have won more games recently than Cuba.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Saint Kitts and Nevis Clean Sheet 16%
Cuba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Kitts and Nevis Cuba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.73 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Cuba vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
2:2
Oct 2, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba
3:3
Nov 18, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Cuba vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
4:0
Nov 14, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba
2:1
May 18, 2001 Caribbean Cup
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Kitts and Nevis Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelly K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simpson T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Cuba Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez Y. Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Catasus D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Kitts and Nevis 36 / 100
Cuba 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Kitts and Nevis Cuba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Saint Kitts and Nevis has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Saint Kitts and Nevis scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Cuba let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Saint Kitts and Nevis VS Cuba
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Kitts and Nevis

(Home)
05 Oct
Cuba
2 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis
02 Oct
Saint Kitts and Nevis
3 : 3
Cuba
29 Sept
Saint Kitts and Nevis
3 : 0
Grenada
26 Sept
Bonaire
1 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis
30 Mar
Saint Kitts and Nevis
4 : 2
Solomon Islands
Page 1 of 6

Cuba

(Away)
05 Oct
Cuba
2 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis
02 Oct
Saint Kitts and Nevis
3 : 3
Cuba
28 Sept
Cuba
2 : 0
Bonaire
25 Sept
Grenada
0 : 3
Cuba
29 Mar
Dominican Republic
1 : 1
Cuba
Page 1 of 6