Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saint Kitts and Nevis vs French Guiana

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup 2023
Wed, Jun 21, 2023
2 - 1
01:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Williams G.
41' Event
Williams T.
49'
Haabo M.

AI Match Summary

The Gold Cup 2023 game between Saint Kitts and Nevis and French Guiana finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint Kitts and Nevis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
22%
Draws
18%
French Guiana
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Saint Kitts and Nevis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saint Kitts and Nevis come out ahead of French Guiana on wins alone.
  • Saint Kitts and Nevis are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Gold Cup 2023 game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Saint Kitts and Nevis Clean Sheet 68%
French Guiana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Kitts and Nevis French Guiana
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2023 Gold Cup
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs French Guiana
2:1
Nov 17, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
French Guiana vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
3:1
Sep 8, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs French Guiana
2:2
Oct 8, 2016 Caribbean Cup
French Guiana vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
1:0
Oct 10, 2014 Caribbean Cup
French Guiana vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Kitts and Nevis Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

French Guiana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Kitts and Nevis 68 / 100
French Guiana 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Kitts and Nevis French Guiana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Kitts and Nevis's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

French Guiana has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Saint Kitts and Nevis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Saint Kitts and Nevis VS French Guiana
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Antigua and Barbuda0
Guadeloupe5
Guyana2
Grenada1
Martinique3
Saint Lucia1
Suriname0
Puerto Rico1
Curacao1
Saint Kitts and Nevis2
French Guiana4
Sint Maarten1
Final
Guadeloupe2
Guyana0
Martinique2
Puerto Rico0
Saint Kitts and Nevis2
French Guiana1