Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

World World

Friendly International 2025 Samuel Williams Sports Complex, Old Road Town
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Solomon A.
11' Event
Amory G.
'

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Saint Kitts and Nevis and Saint Vincent and the Grenadines finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
22%
Draws
60%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Saint Vincent and the Grenadines carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Saint Vincent and the Grenadines's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Saint Kitts and Nevis Clean Sheet 10%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Kitts and Nevis Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 2 2.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 Friendly International
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
3:0
May 20, 2025 Friendly International
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1:3
Jun 7, 2016 Caribbean Cup
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
0:1
Oct 9, 2010 Caribbean Cup
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
1:1
Sep 20, 2009 Friendly International
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Kitts and Nevis Compare

Top Goalscorer Amory G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Compare

Top Goalscorer Solomon A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Franklyn K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Kitts and Nevis 18 / 100
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Kitts and Nevis Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SVG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Saint Kitts and Nevis scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Saint Kitts and Nevis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saint Kitts and Nevis VS Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
2 Goals Scored 2.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Kitts and Nevis

(Home)
30 Mar
Saint Kitts and Nevis
4 : 2
Solomon Islands
27 Mar
Indonesia
4 : 0
Saint Kitts and Nevis
18 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
2 : 6
Belize
12 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
05 Oct
Saint Kitts and Nevis
2 : 1
Saint Martin
Page 1 of 6

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

(Away)
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
27 Mar
Bonaire
3 : 1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
16 Nov
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3 : 1
Saint Lucia
13 Nov
Dominican Republic
2 : 0
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
09 Oct
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1 : 0
Cuba
Page 1 of 6