Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saint Lo Manche vs Les Herbiers

France France

Coupe de France 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Bongongui R.
56'
Sub
Gouesmel B. In: Croci N.
Out: Gouesmel B.
68'
Sub
Couturier C. In: Flochon S.
Out: Couturier C.

AI Match Summary

Les Herbiers in this Coupe de France 2017/2018 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Saint Lo Manche
15%
Draws
57%
Les Herbiers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Les Herbiers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Les Herbiers have won more games recently than Saint Lo Manche.
  • Model gives Les Herbiers a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Les Herbiers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Les Herbiers, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Saint Lo Manche Clean Sheet 17%
Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Lo Manche Les Herbiers
Matches Played 23 31
Wins 9 15
Draws 0 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.26 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2018 Coupe de France
Saint Lo Manche vs Les Herbiers
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Lo Manche Compare

Top Goalscorer Montout K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Les Herbiers Compare

Top Goalscorer Bongongui R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Lo Manche 20 / 100
Les Herbiers 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Lo Manche Les Herbiers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Les Herbiers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Les Herbiers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Saint Lo Manche found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (23 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Les Herbiers has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Les Herbiers
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Lo Manche

(Home)
16 Nov
Saint Lo Manche
1 : 2
SU Dives
17 Aug
TA Rennes
2 : 0
Saint Lo Manche
10 Aug
Saint Lo Manche
2 : 1
Fougeres
03 Aug
Saint Lo Manche
1 : 2
Dinan
31 Jul
AF Virois
2 : 0
Saint Lo Manche
Page 1 of 5

Les Herbiers

(Away)
02 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 1
Les Herbiers
19 Sept
Les Herbiers
0 : 1
Tarbes
11 Sept
Chauray
1 : 2
Les Herbiers
04 Sept
Les Herbiers
1 : 2
Avranches
29 Aug
Dinan
2 : 0
Les Herbiers
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Les Herbiers 3
Balma 0
Diables Noirs 1
Romorantin 10
Gueugnon 1
Tour Saint Clair 0
Bressuire 0
Angouleme CFC 2
Aubervilliers 2
St. Maur Lusitanos 0
Montauban 0
La Brede 1
Change 3
Plancoet-Arguenon FC 0
L'Etoile 1
Saint Lo Manche 4
Nantes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Choisy Au Bac 1
Quarouble 0
Vimy 1
USM Senlis 2
Schiltigheim 3
Amneville 1
Chantilly 0
Racing Club de France 3
Andrezieux 6
Mont-Pilat 0
Chamalieres 1
Auxerre 3
Troyes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
UL Rombas 2
Thaon 0
Saint Avold 0
Still 1930 2
Nimes 1
Athletico Marseille 0
Sud Ardeche 0
Anduze 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Etienne -
Stade Briochin 9
Le Geldar 1
Stade Pontivyen 0
Laval 3
Saumur Olympique 2
Les Sables 1
Liffre 1
Vannes 2
Boulogne 1
Les Ulis 0
Lucciana 2
Arras 3
Reims 2
Geispolsheim 0
US Noeux Les Mines 0
Lens 5
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dijon -
Le Mans 1
ASPTT Caen 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Excelsior 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Biesheim 1
Tremery 0
Feurs 1
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Raon L Etape 2
Epernay 0
Olympique Marcquois 1
Fleury 91 2
GFC Ajaccio 4
AS Cagnes-Le Cros 1
Martigues 1
Gemenos 2
Tarbes 4
Merignac 1
Annecy 1
Grenoble 3
Granville 3
Vierzon Foot 2
St. Colomban Locmine 1
Vitre 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Houilles 1
Bretteville Sur Odon 0
Avranches 0
Etoile Matoury 1
Brest 5
Pledran 0
Golden Lion 0
Concarneau 7
Chateauroux 3
Avoine 2
Feytiat 1
Cholet 6
Essartais 3
Ancienne Chateau-Gontier 2
Plomelin 0
Saint-Malo 5
CO Avallon 2
Hauts Lyonnais 1
Vallee de la Gresse 2
Cluses Scionzier 3
Haguenau 2
US Ittenheim 0
AF Virois 0
Chambly 1
Caen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beauvais 1
AJ Petite-Ile 0
Quevilly 1
SC Hazebrouck 2
Sud Nivernais Imphy Decize 3
Bron Grand Lyon 0
Chapelain Foot 0
Bergerac 2
AC Ajaccio 3
Saint-Amand 1
Ales 0
Canet Roussillon 3
Tours 8
Pays Argentonnais 0
Bellevue Nantes 2
Limoges 3
Rouen 4
Saint Brice 1
Orleans 1
Chartres 3
Dunkerque 1
Cambrai 0
Itancourt Neuville 1
OS Fives 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metz -
Montpellier -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Morteau Montlebon 3
Grandvillars 1
Mulhouse 1
Pontarlier 2
Angers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sene 3
Quimperle 2
Stella Maris Douarnenez 0
Lorient 4
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Belfort 3
Club Colonial 2
Clermont 0
Moulins-Yzeure 1
Nancy 1
Forbach 0
Porto Portugais 0
Rungis 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Evreux 3
Le Havre 2
FCA Troyes 0
Valenciennes 2
Sannois 7
Lossi 1
Stade Ygossais 0
Paris FC 3
Blanc Mesnil 2
ASC La Courneuve 0
Moulien 2
Epinal 6
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
AS-Fabregues 4
Valdaine 0
Tefana 0
Rodez 3
ES Tarentaise 2
Rivieres 0
Seyssinet 2
Bourg Peronnas 3
Sochaux 2
Villefranche 1
Hegenheim 2
St. Louis Neuweg 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amiens SC -
Le Puy-en-Velay 3
Football Club de Chaumont 0
Marseille Endoume 2
Alberes Argeles 3
Furiani Agliani 1
Compiegne 0
Langon FC 0
Colomiers 1
Guingamp -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Bordelais 2
Bayonne 0
Tournefeuille 1
Niort 5
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
1/64-finals
Les Herbiers 2
Romorantin 1
Gueugnon 1
Angouleme CFC 2
Aubervilliers 1
La Brede 0
Change 1
Saint Lo Manche 2
Nantes -
TBD -
Choisy Au Bac 1
USM Senlis 3
Schiltigheim 2
Racing Club de France 1
Andrezieux 1
Auxerre 2
Troyes -
TBD -
UL Rombas 1
Still 1930 2
Nimes 3
Anduze 1
TBD -
St Etienne -
Stade Briochin 2
Laval 0
Saumur Olympique 0
Vannes 1
Boulogne 2
Arras 1
Reims 2
Lens 3
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
Dijon -
Le Mans 3
Excelsior 2
TBD -
Lille -
Biesheim 1
Lyon - La Duchere 0
Raon L Etape 0
Fleury 91 4
GFC Ajaccio 2
Gemenos 1
Tarbes 0
Grenoble 3
Granville 2
Vitre 1
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Houilles 2
Etoile Matoury 1
Brest 2
Concarneau 3
Chateauroux 5
Cholet 3
Essartais 0
Saint-Malo 3
CO Avallon 1
Cluses Scionzier 0
Haguenau 1
Chambly 3
Caen -
TBD -
Beauvais 0
SC Hazebrouck 3
Sud Nivernais Imphy Decize 3
Bergerac 0
AC Ajaccio 0
Canet Roussillon 2
Tours 4
Limoges 2
Rouen 0
Chartres 2
Dunkerque 2
OS Fives 0
TBD -
Metz -
Montpellier -
TBD -
Morteau Montlebon 1
Pontarlier 2
Angers -
TBD -
Sene 1
Lorient 6
Monaco -
TBD -
Belfort 0
Moulins-Yzeure 3
Nancy 6
Rungis 1
TBD -
Lyon -
Marseille -
TBD -
Evreux 0
Valenciennes 3
Sannois 3
Paris FC 2
Blanc Mesnil 1
Epinal 2
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
AS-Fabregues 2
Rodez 1
ES Tarentaise 1
Bourg Peronnas 2
Sochaux 2
St. Louis Neuweg 1
TBD -
Amiens SC -
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
Alberes Argeles 0
Furiani Agliani 0
Colomiers 3
Guingamp -
TBD -
Stade Bordelais 0
Niort 1
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
1/32-finals
Les Herbiers 2
Angouleme CFC 1
Aubervilliers 2
Saint Lo Manche 3
Nantes 4
USM Senlis 0
Schiltigheim 1
Auxerre 5
Troyes 1
Still 1930 0
Nimes 0
St Etienne 2
Stade Briochin 2
Vannes 1
Boulogne 2
Lens 3
Strasbourg 3
Dijon 2
Le Mans 2
Lille 4
Biesheim 1
Fleury 91 0
GFC Ajaccio 1
Grenoble 2
Granville 2
Bordeaux 1
Houilles 0
Concarneau 3
Chateauroux 2
Saint-Malo 1
CO Avallon 0
Chambly 2
Caen 2
SC Hazebrouck 0
Sud Nivernais Imphy Decize 1
Canet Roussillon 3
Tours 2
Chartres 1
Dunkerque 2
Metz 4
Montpellier 2
Pontarlier 1
Angers 0
Lorient 2
Monaco 5
Moulins-Yzeure 2
Nancy 2
Lyon 3
Marseille 1
Valenciennes 0
Sannois 1
Epinal 2
Toulouse 1
Nice 0
AS-Fabregues 1
Bourg Peronnas 2
Sochaux 6
Amiens SC 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Colomiers 2
Guingamp 1
Niort 0
Rennes 1
PSG 6
1/16-finals
Les Herbiers 2
Saint Lo Manche 1
Nantes 3
Auxerre 4
Troyes 2
St Etienne 1
Stade Briochin 0
Lens 1
Strasbourg 2
Lille 1
Biesheim 2
Grenoble 3
Granville 3
Concarneau 2
Chateauroux 1
Chambly 2
Caen 2
Canet Roussillon 1
Tours 0
Metz 1
Montpellier 4
Lorient 3
Monaco 2
Lyon 3
Marseille 2
Epinal 0
Toulouse 0
Bourg Peronnas 2
Sochaux 2
Colomiers 1
Guingamp 2
PSG 4
1/8-finals
Les Herbiers 3
Auxerre 0
Troyes 0
Lens 1
Strasbourg 3
Grenoble 0
Granville 0
Chambly 1
Caen 3
Metz 2
Montpellier 1
Lyon 2
Marseille 9
Bourg Peronnas 0
Sochaux 1
PSG 4
Quarter-finals
Les Herbiers 1
Lens 0
Strasbourg 0
Chambly 1
Caen 1
Lyon 0
Marseille 0
PSG 3
Semi-finals
Les Herbiers 2
Chambly 0
Caen 1
PSG 3
Final
Les Herbiers 0
PSG 2