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Saint Louis vs Thunder Bay Chill Prediction & H2H Stats

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USL Premier Development League 2015
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AI Match Summary

Saint Louis in this USL Premier Development League 2015 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint Louis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Saint Louis
15%
Draws
42%
Thunder Bay Chill
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Louis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Thunder Bay Chill have won more games recently than Saint Louis.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular USL Premier Development League 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Saint Louis Clean Sheet 10%
Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Louis Thunder Bay Chill
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 21
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.17 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2017 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Saint Louis
1:3
Jun 29, 2017 USL League Two
Saint Louis vs Thunder Bay Chill
0:0
Jun 30, 2015 USL League Two
Saint Louis vs Thunder Bay Chill
3:1
Jun 6, 2015 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Saint Louis
1:1
Jun 5, 2015 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Saint Louis
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Louis 34 / 100
Thunder Bay Chill 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Louis Thunder Bay Chill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thunder Bay Chill Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Louis found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Thunder Bay Chill's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Saint Louis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Thunder Bay Chill
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Louis

(Home)
15 Jul
Menace
1 : 2
Saint Louis
09 Jul
FC Manitoba
4 : 1
Saint Louis
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
1 : 3
Saint Louis
05 Jul
Chicago United
1 : 0
Saint Louis
02 Jul
Menace
1 : 2
Saint Louis
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Thunder Bay Chill

(Away)
20 Jul
Peoria IL
2 : 0
Thunder Bay Chill
13 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1
Thunder Bay Chill
11 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2
Thunder Bay Chill
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 0
Rochester FC
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
3 : 2
Minneapolis City
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