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Saint-Luc vs Tshinkunku

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Saint-Luc and Tshinkunku finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint-Luc.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Saint-Luc
35%
Draws
26%
Tshinkunku
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Saint-Luc

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Tshinkunku haven't matched Saint-Luc's recent run of results.
  • Saint-Luc are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Saint-Luc Clean Sheet 20%
Tshinkunku Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Luc Tshinkunku
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.7 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Ligue 1
Saint-Luc vs Tshinkunku
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs Saint-Luc
0:0
Nov 10, 2012 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs Saint-Luc
0:0
Mar 11, 2012 Ligue 1
Saint-Luc vs Tshinkunku
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Luc 58 / 100
Tshinkunku 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Luc Tshinkunku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Luc Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tshinkunku let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Saint-Luc stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tshinkunku lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Saint-Luc scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saint-Luc VS Tshinkunku
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint-Luc

(Home)
11 Apr
Tanganyika
2 : 2
Saint-Luc
05 Apr
Don Bosco
3 : 1
Saint-Luc
02 Apr
Blessing
1 : 0
Saint-Luc
27 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 1
Groupe Bazano
25 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 1
Malole
Page 1 of 6

Tshinkunku

(Away)
15 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 2
Tshinkunku
08 Apr
Mazembe
3 : 1
Tshinkunku
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0
Tshinkunku
25 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0
Don Bosco
18 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)