Sport Picks
Saint Lucia vs Grenada
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Stadion Ergilio Hato, Willemstad 
Match Events
12'
12'
Francis J.
46'
46'
Pierre A.
46'
46'
Sub
Barker D. In: Charles-Cook R.
Out: Barker D.
AI Match Summary
The CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 game between Saint Lucia and Grenada finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grenada.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Lucia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Grenada haven't matched Saint Lucia's recent run of results.
- Model gives Grenada a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Grenada have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Saint Lucia Clean Sheet 10%
Grenada Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saint Lucia | Grenada |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 2.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 15, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Lucia vs Grenada
0:4
Sep 10, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Grenada vs Saint Lucia
1:2
Mar 3, 2023 Friendly International
Grenada vs Saint Lucia
2:0
Feb 28, 2019 Friendly International
Grenada vs Saint Lucia
1:0
Jun 30, 2017 Friendly International
Grenada vs Saint Lucia
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Saint Lucia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Grenada Compare
Top Goalscorer Francis J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Charles-Cook R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Saint Lucia 22 / 100
Grenada 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Saint Lucia Grenada
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Grenada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Saint Lucia's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Grenada conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Difficult form: Grenada registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Saint Lucia VS Grenada
0.83 Goals Scored 2.38
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Saint Lucia
(Home) 27 Mar
Azerbaijan
6 : 1 Saint Lucia
16 Nov
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3 : 1 Saint Lucia
12 Nov
Cuba
3 : 0 Saint Lucia
10 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 1 Barbados
06 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0 Saint Lucia
Page 1 of 6
10 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 1 Barbados
15 Nov
Saint Lucia
0 : 4 Grenada
14 Oct
Saint Lucia
0 : 4 Saint Martin
06 Sept
Saint Lucia
2 : 1 Curacao
11 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 2 Aruba
Page 1 of 3
Grenada
(Away) 16 May
Ireland
5 : 0 Grenada
30 Mar
Grenada
0 : 3 Kenya
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0 Grenada
18 Jan
Grenada
0 : 1 Jamaica
15 Nov
Grenada
4 : 1 United States Virgin Islands
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Ireland
5 : 0 Grenada
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0 Grenada
10 Jun
Saint Kitts and Nevis
2 : 3 Grenada
19 Mar
Russia
5 : 0 Grenada
09 Mar
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1 : 1 Grenada
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Salvador | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bonaire | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:10 | 3 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curacao | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:15 | 9 |
| 3 | Grenada | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Saint Martin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | 6 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haiti | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Puerto Rico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 3 | Sint Maarten | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:18 | 9 |
| 4 | Aruba | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:17 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dominican Republic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Bermuda | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15:13 | 12 |
| 3 | Dominica | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:18 | 4 |
| 4 | Antigua and Barbuda | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:15 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
