Sport Picks
Saint Lucia vs Saint Martin
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Daren Sammy Cricket Ground, Gros Islet 
Match Events
8'
8'
Lebon K.
(Penalty)
21'
21'
Sub
Fonrose F. In: Marchal M.
Out: Fonrose F.
26'
26'
Barakat S.
Assist: Arne P.
AI Match Summary
The CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 game between Saint Lucia and Saint Martin finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint Martin.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Martin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Saint Lucia haven't matched Saint Martin's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Saint Martin's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Saint Lucia Clean Sheet 10%
Saint Martin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saint Lucia | Saint Martin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 14, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Lucia vs Saint Martin
0:4
Oct 12, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Martin vs Saint Lucia
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Saint Lucia Compare
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Saint Martin Compare
Top Goalscorer Barakat S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lebon K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Saint Lucia 10 / 100
Saint Martin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Saint Lucia Saint Martin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Saint Martin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Saint Lucia scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Saint Martin conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Recent resilience: Saint Lucia stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Saint Lucia VS Saint Martin
0.71 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 2.13
86% Over 1.5 100%
86% Over 2.5 100%
57% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Saint Lucia
(Home) 27 Mar
Azerbaijan
6 : 1 Saint Lucia
16 Nov
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3 : 1 Saint Lucia
12 Nov
Cuba
3 : 0 Saint Lucia
10 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 1 Barbados
06 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0 Saint Lucia
Page 1 of 6
10 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 1 Barbados
15 Nov
Saint Lucia
0 : 4 Grenada
14 Oct
Saint Lucia
0 : 4 Saint Martin
06 Sept
Saint Lucia
2 : 1 Curacao
11 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 2 Aruba
Page 1 of 3
Saint Martin
(Away) 30 Mar
Bonaire
0 : 3 Saint Martin
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1 Barbados
15 Nov
Saint Martin
0 : 1 Belize
12 Nov
Dominica
1 : 2 Saint Martin
09 Nov
Saint Martin
1 : 2 Anguilla
Page 1 of 6
30 Mar
Bonaire
0 : 3 Saint Martin
12 Nov
Dominica
1 : 2 Saint Martin
05 Oct
Saint Kitts and Nevis
2 : 1 Saint Martin
04 Oct
Saint Kitts and Nevis
5 : 0 Saint Martin
18 Nov
Grenada
0 : 3 Saint Martin
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Salvador | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bonaire | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:10 | 3 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curacao | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:15 | 9 |
| 3 | Grenada | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Saint Martin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | 6 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haiti | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Puerto Rico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 3 | Sint Maarten | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:18 | 9 |
| 4 | Aruba | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:17 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dominican Republic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Bermuda | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15:13 | 12 |
| 3 | Dominica | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:18 | 4 |
| 4 | Antigua and Barbuda | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:15 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
