Sport Picks
Saint Lucia vs Sint Maarten
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 
Match Events
12'
12'
Thomas T.
Assist: Myers A.
38'
38'
Amatkarijo C.
Assist: Kort I.
45'
45'
Sub
Myers A. In: McFarlane J.
Out: Myers A.
AI Match Summary
The CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 game between Saint Lucia and Sint Maarten finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sint Maarten.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Lucia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sint Maarten haven't matched Saint Lucia's recent run of results.
- 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Saint Lucia Clean Sheet 10%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saint Lucia | Sint Maarten |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 19, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Lucia vs Sint Maarten
1:2
Sep 7, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs Saint Lucia
1:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Saint Lucia Compare
Top Goalscorer Thomas T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Sint Maarten Compare
Top Goalscorer Amatkarijo C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lake G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Saint Lucia 29 / 100
Sint Maarten 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Saint Lucia Sint Maarten
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Saint Lucia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sint Maarten has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.
Saint Lucia's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Solid form: Saint Lucia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Saint Lucia VS Sint Maarten
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Saint Lucia
(Home) 05 Oct
Guadeloupe
0 : 1 Saint Lucia
02 Oct
Saint Lucia
3 : 0 Guadeloupe
29 Sept
Saint Lucia
5 : 2 Bermuda
26 Sept
Barbados
2 : 0 Saint Lucia
27 Mar
Azerbaijan
6 : 1 Saint Lucia
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Saint Lucia
3 : 0 Guadeloupe
29 Sept
Saint Lucia
5 : 2 Bermuda
10 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 1 Barbados
15 Nov
Saint Lucia
0 : 4 Grenada
14 Oct
Saint Lucia
0 : 4 Saint Martin
Page 1 of 3
Sint Maarten
(Away) 03 Oct
Sint Maarten
2 : 4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
29 Sept
French Guiana
1 : 0 Sint Maarten
27 Sept
Sint Maarten
0 : 1 Belize
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Belize
2 : 3 Sint Maarten
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
French Guiana
1 : 0 Sint Maarten
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Belize
2 : 3 Sint Maarten
15 Nov
Dominica
2 : 3 Sint Maarten
12 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadeloupe | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Sint Maarten | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicaragua | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Montserrat | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 4 | Barbados | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7:26 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | French Guiana | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 2 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 3 | Bermuda | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 4 | Belize | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | 7 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guyana | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Puerto Rico | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 3 | Antigua and Barbuda | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:22 | 4 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7:21 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
