Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saint Lucia W vs Cuba W

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Rodriguez Valdez K.
15' Event
Joseph F.
90' Event
Mengana Perez M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Saint Lucia W
15%
Draws
85%
Cuba W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cuba W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cuba W come out ahead of Saint Lucia W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cuba W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Cuba W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cuba W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cuba W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Saint Lucia W Clean Sheet 10%
Cuba W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Lucia W Cuba W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 2 3
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.59 2.37
Goals Conceded 3.79 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Cuba W vs Saint Lucia W
4:1
Sep 22, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Saint Lucia W vs Cuba W
1:2
Oct 8, 2019 Olympic Games Women
Cuba W vs Saint Lucia W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Lucia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Joseph F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cuba W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez Valdez K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mengana Perez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Lucia W 10 / 100
Cuba W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Lucia W Cuba W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuba W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Saint Lucia W scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Cuba W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Cuba W's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Saint Lucia W VS Cuba W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Lucia W

(Home)
18 Apr
Saint Lucia W
0 : 1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W
02 Mar
Saint Lucia W
0 : 7
Mexico W
01 Dec
Puerto Rico W
7 : 0
Saint Lucia W
27 Nov
United States Virgin Islands W
3 : 1
Saint Lucia W
21 Sept
Saint Lucia W
1 : 2
Barbados W
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Cuba W

(Away)
18 Apr
Panama W
3 : 0
Cuba W
08 Mar
Aruba W
0 : 1
Cuba W
01 Mar
Cuba W
3 : 0
Curacao W
02 Dec
Cuba W
2 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis W
08 Apr
Peru W
3 : 2
Cuba W
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