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Saint Lucia W vs Curacao W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint Lucia W play Curacao W in the CONCACAF Championship Women 2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Saint Lucia W averaged 1.59 goals scored and 3.79 conceded. Curacao W averaged 1.68 goals scored and 2.42 conceded. In past meetings, Saint Lucia W won 1, Curacao W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 23, 2018 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Saint Lucia W and 2.25 for Curacao W. This points to a Curacao W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Saint Lucia W
15%
Draws
44%
Curacao W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Curacao W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Saint Lucia W picked up more points recently compared to Curacao W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Saint Lucia W Clean Sheet 10%
Curacao W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Lucia W Curacao W
Matches Played 29 19
Wins 8 8
Draws 2 1
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.68
Goals Conceded 3.79 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2018 CONCACAF Championship Women
Saint Lucia W vs Curacao W
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Lucia W 39 / 100
Curacao W 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Lucia W Curacao W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Curacao W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.25
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Saint Lucia W attacking → ← attacking Curacao W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Lucia W scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Curacao W let in goals in 74% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Saint Lucia W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Curacao W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 25
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cuba W431022:310
2Puerto Rico W422017:28
3Dominican Republic W42117:57
4Aruba W41032:203
5Anguilla W40041:190
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jamaica W321018:27
2Haiti W321015:27
3Martinique W31023:53
4Guadeloupe W30030:270
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Trinidad & Tobago W431027:110
2Saint Kitts and Nevis W431020:210
3Dominica W41125:64
4United States Virgin Islands W41033:203
5Grenada W40131:271
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Antigua and Barbuda W33005:09
2Saint Lucia W32014:36
3Curacao W31022:53
4Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W30031:40
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bermuda W32106:47
2Guyana W31208:35
3Barbados W31114:44
4Suriname W30032:90