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Saint-Malo vs Avranches

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bangoura D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Saint-Malo and Avranches finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint-Malo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Saint-Malo
35%
Draws
32%
Avranches
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saint-Malo come out ahead of Avranches on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Saint-Malo Clean Sheet 20%
Avranches Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Malo Avranches
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 10 11
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Saint-Malo vs Avranches
2:0
Sep 5, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Avranches vs Saint-Malo
1:0
Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Saint-Malo vs Avranches
1:0
Apr 25, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Avranches vs Saint-Malo
1:1
Dec 13, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Saint-Malo vs Avranches
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Malo 31 / 100
Avranches 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Malo Avranches

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Malo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avranches's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Saint-Malo scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Saint-Malo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Saint-Malo VS Avranches
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint-Malo

(Home)
19 Sept
Granville
1 : 0
Saint-Malo
13 Sept
Saint-Malo
1 : 0
St. Colomban Locmine
04 Sept
Saint-Malo
0 : 0
Stade Briochin
28 Aug
Le Poire Sur Vie
0 : 4
Saint-Malo
22 Aug
Saint-Malo
1 : 1
Pontivy
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Avranches

(Away)
18 Sept
St. Colomban Locmine
1 : 0
Avranches
12 Sept
Avranches
0 : 0
Dinan
04 Sept
Les Herbiers
1 : 2
Avranches
28 Aug
Avranches
1 : 1
Angouleme CFC
22 Aug
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
0 : 3
Avranches
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