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Saint-Malo vs Avranches

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Burban J.
88' Event
Verronneau A.

AI Match Summary

Saint-Malo in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint-Malo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Saint-Malo
33%
Draws
27%
Avranches
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Saint-Malo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saint-Malo lately — more wins on the board than Avranches.
  • Saint-Malo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Saint-Malo Clean Sheet 68%
Avranches Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Malo Avranches
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Saint-Malo vs Avranches
2:0
Sep 5, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Avranches vs Saint-Malo
1:0
Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Saint-Malo vs Avranches
1:0
Apr 25, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Avranches vs Saint-Malo
1:1
Dec 13, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Saint-Malo vs Avranches
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint-Malo Compare

Top Goalscorer Burban J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Verronneau A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Avranches Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Malo 50 / 100
Avranches 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Malo Avranches

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avranches let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Saint-Malo scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Saint-Malo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saint-Malo VS Avranches
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint-Malo

(Home)
16 May
Montlouis
2 : 2
Saint-Malo
09 May
Saint-Malo
2 : 1
Dinan
02 May
Lorient II
3 : 0
Saint-Malo
25 Apr
Saint-Malo
1 : 1
St. Colomban Locmine
17 Apr
Chauray
0 : 1
Saint-Malo
Page 1 of 6

Avranches

(Away)
25 Jul
Quevilly
1 : 1
Avranches
22 Jul
Laval
2 : 1
Avranches
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Granville
1 : 1
Avranches
02 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 3
Avranches
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)