Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saint-Malo vs Dinan

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Lefebvre V.
50' Event
Capoue L.
75' Event
Barroug S.

AI Match Summary

Saint-Malo in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint-Malo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Saint-Malo
30%
Draws
39%
Dinan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dinan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Saint-Malo have won more games recently than Dinan.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Saint-Malo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Saint-Malo Clean Sheet 20%
Dinan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Malo Dinan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.34 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Saint-Malo vs Dinan
2:1
Jan 17, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Dinan vs Saint-Malo
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Dinan vs Saint-Malo
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Saint-Malo vs Dinan
3:0
Apr 27, 2024 National 1 - Group C
Dinan vs Saint-Malo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint-Malo Compare

Top Goalscorer Capoue L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barroug S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Dinan Compare

Top Goalscorer Lefebvre V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Malo 40 / 100
Dinan 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Malo Dinan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Malo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint-Malo scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Dinan conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Saint-Malo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saint-Malo VS Dinan
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint-Malo

(Home)
19 Sept
Granville
1 : 0
Saint-Malo
13 Sept
Saint-Malo
1 : 0
St. Colomban Locmine
04 Sept
Saint-Malo
0 : 0
Stade Briochin
28 Aug
Le Poire Sur Vie
0 : 4
Saint-Malo
22 Aug
Saint-Malo
1 : 1
Pontivy
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Dinan

(Away)
19 Sept
Dinan
2 : 1
Chauray
12 Sept
Avranches
0 : 0
Dinan
05 Sept
St. Colomban Locmine
0 : 1
Dinan
29 Aug
Dinan
2 : 0
Les Herbiers
22 Aug
Angouleme CFC
2 : 0
Dinan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)