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Saint-Malo W vs Paris FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint-Malo W host Paris FC W in the Premiere Ligue Women. This has Saint-Malo W written all over it on paper. Saint-Malo W have averaged 1.3 scored and 1.37 conceded recently, against Paris FC W's 1.69 scored and 1.44 conceded. Past meetings favor Paris FC W slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Saint-Malo W to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Saint-Malo W
15%
Draws
46%
Paris FC W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paris FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Saint-Malo W haven't matched Paris FC W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Saint-Malo W a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Saint-Malo W Clean Sheet 20%
Paris FC W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Malo W Paris FC W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 19
Draws 4 2
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Coupe de France Women
Saint-Malo W vs Paris FC W
0:1
Jan 27, 2019 Coupe de France Women
Saint-Malo W vs Paris FC W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Malo W 49 / 100
Paris FC W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Malo W Paris FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Malo W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint-Malo W found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Paris FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.

Saint-Malo W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saint-Malo W VS Paris FC W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint-Malo W

(Home)
03 Oct
Le Havre W
2 : 0
Saint-Malo W
19 Sept
Saint-Malo W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
05 Sept
Strasbourg W
3 : 2
Saint-Malo W
29 Aug
Saint-Malo W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
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Paris FC W

(Away)
03 Oct
Paris FC W
4 : 1
Lens W
30 Sept
Paris FC W
2 : 2
Arsenal W
23 Sept
Barcelona W
5 : 2
Paris FC W
18 Sept
Strasbourg W
0 : 2
Paris FC W
12 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
7 : 1
Paris FC W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)