Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saint Martin U20 vs Aruba U20

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Kruydenhof J.
39' Event
Kruydenhof J.
41' Event
van Kilsdonk C.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 game between Saint Martin U20 and Aruba U20 finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aruba U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Saint Martin U20
30%
Draws
47%
Aruba U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aruba U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aruba U20 come out ahead of Saint Martin U20 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Saint Martin U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Aruba U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Martin U20 Aruba U20
Matches Played 21 21
Wins 1 4
Draws 3 5
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.81 0.9
Goals Conceded 3.62 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2024 CONCACAF Championship U20
Saint Martin U20 vs Aruba U20
0:4
Nov 2, 2018 CONCACAF Championship U20
Aruba U20 vs Saint Martin U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Martin U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Aruba U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kruydenhof J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader van Kilsdonk C.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Martin U20 34 / 100
Aruba U20 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Martin U20 Aruba U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aruba U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aruba U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 21 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Saint Martin U20 scored in 57% of their last 21 outings.

Saint Martin U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saint Martin U20 VS Aruba U20
1 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Martin U20

(Home)
03 Mar
Belize U20
2 : 1
Saint Martin U20
01 Mar
Saint Martin U20
1 : 1
French Guiana U20
27 Feb
Suriname U20
1 : 2
Saint Martin U20
26 Feb
Saint Martin U20
1 : 4
El Salvador U20
23 Feb
Grenada U20
2 : 1
Saint Martin U20
Page 1 of 5

Aruba U20

(Away)
04 Mar
Martinique U20
0 : 0
Aruba U20
03 Mar
Aruba U20
0 : 2
Canada U20
28 Feb
Aruba U20
2 : 0
United States Virgin Islands U20
25 Feb
Nicaragua U20
0 : 2
Aruba U20
02 Mar
Aruba U20
1 : 1
Barbados U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuba U20 4 4 0 0 18:2 12
2 Nicaragua U20 4 3 0 1 20:2 9
3 British Virgin Islands U20 4 2 0 2 8:14 6
4 Belize U20 4 1 0 3 7:12 3
5 Anguilla U20 4 0 0 4 2:25 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador U20 4 3 1 0 13:2 10
2 Suriname U20 4 3 0 1 14:8 9
3 Antigua and Barbuda U20 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
4 Guyana U20 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
5 Turks and Caicos Islands U20 4 0 0 4 4:18 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guatemala U20 4 4 0 0 15:1 12
2 Curacao U20 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Aruba U20 4 1 2 1 6:7 5
4 Barbados U20 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Saint Martin U20 4 0 0 4 2:15 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada U20 3 3 0 0 15:0 9
2 Trinidad & Tobago U20 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Dominica U20 3 0 0 3 2:16 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti U20 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Puerto Rico U20 3 1 2 0 7:2 5
3 Saint Kitts and Nevis U20 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
4 Cayman Islands U20 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica U20 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Martinique U20 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
3 Bermuda U20 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Grenada U20 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Main)