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Saint Martin vs Anguilla Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Denis R.
60' Event
Raga Rigobert A.
65' Event
Jackson T.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Saint Martin and Anguilla finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint Martin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Saint Martin
15%
Draws
0%
Anguilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Saint Martin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Saint Martin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • History favors Saint Martin here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Saint Martin Clean Sheet 20%
Anguilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Martin Anguilla
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 6
Draws 3 4
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 2.17 0.65
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.58
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Friendly International
Saint Martin vs Anguilla
1:2
May 24, 2025 Friendly International
Saint Martin vs Anguilla
2:1
May 26, 2024 Friendly International
Anguilla vs Saint Martin
1:2
Oct 16, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Martin vs Anguilla
8:0
Sep 7, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Anguilla vs Saint Martin
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Denis R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raga Rigobert A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Anguilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Jackson T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Martin 85 / 100
Anguilla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Martin Anguilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Martin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anguilla has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Difficult form: Anguilla registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Saint Martin found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Saint Martin VS Anguilla
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Martin

(Home)
01 Oct
United States Virgin Islands
0 : 5
Saint Martin
26 Sept
Saint Martin
0 : 2
United States Virgin Islands
23 Sept
Bahamas
0 : 8
Saint Martin
30 Mar
Bonaire
0 : 3
Saint Martin
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1
Barbados
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Anguilla

(Away)
01 Oct
Anguilla
0 : 3
Antigua and Barbuda
29 Sept
Anguilla
0 : 2
Aruba
26 Sept
Antigua and Barbuda
5 : 0
Anguilla
21 Sept
Dominica
1 : 0
Anguilla
29 Mar
British Virgin Islands
4 : 0
Anguilla
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