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Saint Martin vs El Salvador - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CONCACAF Nations League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Saint Martin have averaged 2.3 scored and 1.4 conceded recently, against El Salvador's 0.97 scored and 1.35 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (2.60 - 0.66) back Saint Martin to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Saint Martin
20%
Draws
24%
El Salvador
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saint Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saint Martin come out ahead of El Salvador on wins alone.
  • Model gives Saint Martin a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Saint Martin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Saint Martin Clean Sheet 20%
El Salvador Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Martin El Salvador
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 15 10
Draws 3 9
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.3 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.60 0.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Martin 85 / 100
El Salvador 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Martin El Salvador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Martin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Martin found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

El Salvador has conceded goals in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Recent resilience: Saint Martin stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: El Salvador registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saint Martin VS El Salvador
3.57 Goals Scored 0.75
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.63
86% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Martin

(Home)
06 Oct
Saint Martin
6 : 0
Bahamas
01 Oct
United States Virgin Islands
0 : 5
Saint Martin
26 Sept
Saint Martin
0 : 2
United States Virgin Islands
23 Sept
Bahamas
0 : 8
Saint Martin
30 Mar
Bonaire
0 : 3
Saint Martin
Page 1 of 6

El Salvador

(Away)
05 Oct
Martinique
1 : 1
El Salvador
03 Oct
El Salvador
0 : 2
Jamaica
29 Sept
Guatemala
6 : 0
El Salvador
26 Sept
El Salvador
3 : 1
Martinique
10 Jul
Club Tijuana
2 : 2
El Salvador
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Martinique -
Aruba -
Trinidad & Tobago -
Antigua and Barbuda -
El Salvador -
Saint Martin -
Nicaragua -
Montserrat -